riskandforecast

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Hungary  13/08/09

Conflicts over strict election-year budget in Hungary

As the vote on the strict 2010 budget approaches, conflicts between the governing Socialist Party and Hungarian PM Gordon Bajnai became stronger and more visible than before. ...
Hungary  13/08/09

Roma Murders in Kisléta Dominate Political Discourse in Hungary

The latest attack against a Roma family in Kislétamoved the Roma issue and public security back to the agenda. Meanwhile, conflicts are expected within the MSZP over the strict 2010 budget....
 
Kosovo  11/08/09

Serious Coalition Troubles in Serbia

The stability of the Serbian government is seriously threatened by internal feuds, while the Serbian Progressive Party (SNS) consolidated its dominance in the opposition....
Romania  04/08/09

IMF Agreement Projects Austerity Measures in Romania

According to the agreement between Romania and the IMF, the budget deficit could rise to 7.3% instead of 4.6% as originally expected with the government facing increasing difficulties in paying public...
 
Hungary  27/07/09

No economic policy shift expected in Hungary following the election

Despite generous promises, once in power Fidesz will be unable to splurge and reverse all policy decisions passed by the Bajnai-cabinet; such steps would go against its own vested interests. ...
Hungary  24/07/09

Bajnai's Government Strengthened

Political developments of the past weeks have strengthened the Hungarian government's stability and minimised the chances of an early election. ...
 
Hungary  24/07/09

Improving Hungarian Economy Stabilizes Government

Successes in the economic sphere will improve government stability, and the government will continue to handle adherence to the 2009 3.9% GDP-rated deficit as a top priority....
Albania  22/07/09

IMF Deal at Risk in Bosnia and Herczegovina

The stand-by agreement with IMF is jeopardized by the FBiH government’s inability to agree on budget revision....
 
Albania  21/07/09

The Bosnia and Herzegovina Stand-by Agreement with the IMF is in Question

The BiH stand-by agreement with the IMF is jeopardized by the FBiH government’s inability to agree upon budget revision. ...
Bulgaria  09/07/09

Bulgaria elects a center-right ruling party with 40% Majority

The next government will be dominated by center-right CEDB, that won 116 seats in the 240-member Parliament on the 5th July elections. It will have a tough time, as the deficit is expected to grow....
 
Poland  09/07/09

Poland feels economic crisis even harder

The government will revise Euro adoption plans in light of worsening economic outlook, and it has revised the budget deficit plan, increasing it to PLN 27 billion....
Romania  09/07/09

Campaign in Romania Gears up amid Bleak Economic Outlooks

Romania’s economic outlook remains bleak in 2009. Published reports expect a 7% GDP drop. The coming presidential election campaign casts doubt on the implementation of all the necessary steps....
 
Hungary  09/07/09

Chances for Early Elections in Hungary Diminished

With the passage of the tax bill, the chances of early elections in Hungary have diminished. Having implemented almost all components of a short-term crisis management program, it is now in a vacuum....
Kosovo  19/06/09

Unsolved Name Issue Plague Macedonian Government

Unsolved name issue might cause turbulence within the government,ethnic Albanian Democratic Union for Integration (DUI) might leave the government before the end of the year....
 

Name Issue still Plagues Macedonian Government

Macedonia, although hit by the consequences of the financial crisis, continues to remain an economically and politically stable country, although the name issue still divides the government....
Hungary  16/06/09

Unstability Follows EP Elections in Hungary

Major conflicts are ahead, and the government's fate hinges on the tax bill vote in Parliament. ...
 
Albania  03/06/09

Conflicts and Declining Popularity due to Austerity Measures in Serbia

The government's popularity dipped due to austerity measures required by the IMF stand-by agreement. Also, conflicts arose between the coalition parties due plans to cut the number of ministries....
Croatia  03/06/09

Governing Parties Lag Behind the Opposition before the EP Elections

The governing parties are behind the opposition in the polls before the EP elections. The coalition is expected to pick up 4, the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) 2 seats and New Slovenia (NSi)1 seat....
 
Macedonia (FYROM)  26/05/09

Macedonia (FYROM) anticipates visa liberalization as of 1 Jan 2010

Starting EU accession talks, visa regime liberalization and decentralization in IPA funds management are the three priorities of Macedonia....
Romania  26/05/09

FDI fell in Romania

FDI saw a 13.9% drop in the first trimester of 2009 in Romania. As previously expected, after the first quarter the country’s economy took a steep downward direction....
 
 

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