riskandforecast

Far-right

Hungary  18/10/08

Extremists increase their influence over society in Hungary

Far right activism since the autumn of 2006 have increased its potential social base and political playing room. Anti-Semitism and anti-roma sentiment continue to be a major identity-building force....
Hungary  08/10/08

Resurgent Hungarian Prime Minister, Paralysed MSZP

In the past few weeks Ferenc Gyurcsány’s position has stabilized somewhat. The „spy scandal” will remain the most important political topic in the coming period....
 
Bulgaria  08/09/08

Georgian-Russian conflict: deepening rift on the Hungarian right

Unexpectedly the Hungarian right-wing and far-right parties and organizations do not reject the Russian standpoint in the Georgian conflict....
Hungary  04/09/08

Hungarian PM's Fate Hinges on the 2009 Budget

The fate of Prime Minister Ferenc Gyurcsány and the minority government will be determined by the two major issues before Parliament this fall: the tax legislation and the budget....
 
Hungary  31/07/08

Hungarian Socialists: Back to Bottom

The rise in MSZP’s approval rating last month proved to be a temporary one, so they face the same problems that they had in the spring. ...
Hungary  16/07/08

Radical Right in the Spotlight after Gay Pride Day in Hungary

Radical demonstrators perturbed the procession on Gay Pride Day, which was condemned by parliamentary parties. Mr. Gyurcsány failed garner support for his “Hungarian Charta” initiative....
 
Bulgaria  16/07/08

Upcoming Vote of no Confidence in Bulgaria not Expected to Succeed

The expected vote of no confidence most certainly will not pass. The majority remains stable and the opposition does not have the needed 121 MPs to depose the government....
Hungary  02/07/08

Gains for the Hungarian Left

Ferenc Gyurcsány’s position as the head of the government and MSZP has improved. SZDSZ has also strengthened, which could make it a possible ally to FIDESZ in seeking early elections....
 
Bulgaria  18/06/08

No Threat to the Government in the Short Term

In a short-term the government will remain stable regardless of the rising discontent. This will be guaranteed mostly by the firm parliamentary majority rather by implementing policies and reforms....
Hungary  08/05/08

Hungarian PM's Position Stabilized

Ferenc Gyurcsány's position has stabilized for the moment, it can only be maintained if he is successful in garnering parliamentary support for the proposals of the minority government....
 
Hungary  05/03/08

Hungarian Parties Have Seemingly Moved Beyond the Referendum

Ferenc Gyurcsány tried to undermine the last push of Fidesz by announcing potentially popular initiatives, while Fidesz tries to win voters in the political centre....
Hungary  20/02/08

Hungarian Parties Trying to Assess the Referendum in Advance

The parties are trying to present the referendum according to their priorities. Whatever the result, major political shift is not expected in the short term....
 
Hungary  14/12/07

Political Risk in Hungary has increased due to actions of the Hungarian Guard

The Political Risk of Hungary and the region has increased in the previous months because of the actions of the Hungarian Guard (Magyar Gárda). ...
 

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