riskandforecast

Energy

Albania  03/06/09

Conflicts and Declining Popularity due to Austerity Measures in Serbia

The government's popularity dipped due to austerity measures required by the IMF stand-by agreement. Also, conflicts arose between the coalition parties due plans to cut the number of ministries....

Positive Developments in Montenegro-EU relations

The competent EU bodies (COREPER, GAERC) paved the way for the Montenegrin membership application, and a comprehensive questionnaire will soon be sent to the Montenegrin authorities....
 
Hungary  13/05/09

Shift in Hungary’s Russian policy

The change in government represents a shift in foreign policy as well, and, thanks to mutual gestures of good will, an earlier cool relationship between the cabinet and Mol appears to be on the mend....
Hungary  02/04/09

Russian Economic Expansion Targets Hungary

Russia’s political and economic influence in Hungary significantly rose after Surgutneftegaz unexpectedly bought a 21% stake in Mol, Hungary’s national oil company....
 
Kosovo  16/03/09

Internal Feuds in Serbia's Democratic Party (DS)

Although the Democratic Party is stricken by internal feud on several issues, it is still the most popular party, while the opposition parties are locked in battles....
Macedonia (FYROM)  13/03/09

Macedonia Prepares for Local and Presidential Elections

The governing coalition is stable save for a few internal disputes. The conformity to international standards of the upcoming elections will be an benchmark of the country's development....
 
Croatia  09/03/09

No Threats to Government Stability in Slovenia for the Moment

Slovenia continues to remain an economically and politically stable country, but the border dispute with Croatia puts burden on the government...
Hungary  13/01/09

Stable PM, Rising Risks in Hungary

Thanks to the passage of the budget and his management of the crisis, Ferenc Gyurcsány’s position has stabilized. However, he faces an active Fidesz and a worsening economy....
 
Hungary  05/12/08

Can Hungary become a bioethanol superpower?

Biofuels production offers an economic growth potential for Hungary in the short- and medium term, moreover, first-generation biofuels may utilize annual surpluses of agricultural production....
Bulgaria  02/10/08

Infighting Intensifies among Bulgarian Socialists as Congress Approaches

Internal conflict between the circles of Bulgarian Socialist Party has intensified with the National Congress approaching....
 
Russia  09/09/08

Political and economic consequences of the "Gas War"

The gas conflict between Russia and Ukraine has a negative impact on both countries but can accelerate EU’s actions towards decreasing energy- and political dependence on Russia....
Hungary  18/08/08

In Wait for an Action Plan in Hungary

The government will reveal its action plan for Parliament’s autumn session in late August or early September. SZDSZ will decide on whether or not to support the government after they have seen it....
 
Hungary  02/07/08

Gains for the Hungarian Left

Ferenc Gyurcsány’s position as the head of the government and MSZP has improved. SZDSZ has also strengthened, which could make it a possible ally to FIDESZ in seeking early elections....
Hungary  20/02/08

Hungarian Parties Trying to Assess the Referendum in Advance

The parties are trying to present the referendum according to their priorities. Whatever the result, major political shift is not expected in the short term....
 
 

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