riskandforecast

Popularity

Chart of the Week  12/03/14

Party preferences in February, 2014

Hungarian party preferences in December, 2013. Based on data from Ipsos, Medián, Századvég and Tárki....
Chart of the Week  14/01/14

Party preferences in December, 2013

Hungarian party preferences in December, 2013. Based on data from Ipsos, Medián, Századvég and Tárki....
 
Flash Report  02/01/12

Hungary: against the wall

The foundering of loan negotiations would definitely leave the Hungarian economy in a catastrophic state with potentially serious domestic political consequences....
Chart of the Week  07/06/11

Diminishing majority

The Hungarian government celebrated its first year in office on May 29. In terms of popularity, their first six months was a success story. Fidesz stabilized its voter base at over 40 percent of all a...
 
Poland  23/11/10

Tusk’s Tightrope Walk Brings Political Payoff in Local Vote

Prime Minister Donald Tusk’s Civic Platform (PO) has emerged from the first round of Poland’s municipal elections with a stronger mandate to rule....
Political Forecast  08/11/10

Half-success: Budget deficit aims 3%

Key Political Trends: Half-success: Budget deficit aims 3%; Restricting the jurisdiction of the Constitutional Court; Ferenc Gyurcsány’s two-front battle against Fidesz and the MSZP leadership...
 
Risk Watch  02/11/10

Bahrain elections see Shiites gain; boycott fails

The mainstream Shiite opposition party in Bahrain came out as the biggest winner in the elections, after an attempted boycott by the extreme Shiite group largely failed....
Kuwait  02/11/10

Mob attacks Kuwait TV station over royal insult

A crowd of over 150, reportedly led by members and supporters of the Kuwaiti royal family, stormed a Kuwaiti private TV station, ransacking its offices and damaging furniture and other equipment....
 
In-depth analysis  02/11/10

The bank tax in Europe and Hungary

While currently it appears to be a success story from an economic and political point alike, the introduction of the bank tax presents significant risks already in the medium term....
Hungary  28/10/10

Constitutional Court Curtailed: Good news for fiscal balance, bad for democracy

Hungary’s governing Fidesz party initiated an unprecedented effort October 26 to strip the Constitutional Court – Hungary’s final authority on legislative questions – of a number of powers....
 
Hungary  18/10/10

Legal legacy of the sludge catastrophe

Unexpected crises are moments that can make or break political leaders. They either flounder around for solutions or rise to the occasion....
Chart of the Week  07/10/10

Fidesz - Absolute Majority at all Levels

Hungary’s governing Fidesz Party and its subgroup, the Christian Democratic People’s Party (KDNP), achieved an overwhelming victory in the October 3 municipal elections....
 
Hungary  05/10/10

New, old foes were not up to the task

Fidesz, the party that scooped up 68 per cent of the seats in Hungary’s Parliament last April, has done it again....
Hungary  04/10/10

Hungary’s Local Elections: Fidesz Clobbers Opponents

Fidesz, which leads the strongest government since 1990, has reached all of its political goals by extending its power over most municipalities....
 
Bulgaria  29/09/10

Bulgarian Health Minister Resigns as Medical Crisis Looms

Bulgarian Health Minister Anna-Maria Borisova abruptly quit her post today as the country’s healthcare system lurches toward crisis. Borisova gave no explanation for her resignation....
Political Forecast  20/07/10

IMF Casts Doubt on Hungary’s Fiscal Strategy

Although Hungary currently has no urgent need for outside financing, the IMF loan served as a safety net should the country find itself in a tight spot....
 
Bulgaria  15/07/10

Bulgarian Prosecutors Charge Former PM Stanishev

Bulgarian prosecutors charged opposition leader and former Prime Minister Sergey Stanishev with mishandling seven classified reports that went missing during his term in power....
Flash Report  12/07/10

Fidesz & hubrisz

The biggest political calamities are sometimes the consequence of the most obvious political mistakes. This may be the case with the new Declaration of National Cooperation....
 
Flash Report  05/07/10

Komorowski Takes Polish Presidency, but Kaczyński Poised for Comeback

Polish voters have picked Bronisław Komorowski of the governing Civic Platform (PO) party to be their president for the next five years....
Chart of the Week  21/06/10

Presidential Election in Poland

Acting President Bronisław Komorowski of the governing Civic Platform (PO) party won the first round of Poland's presidential election on June 20, but failed to win the 50% required to avoid a runoff....
 
 

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In the media

Criticism of 'xenophobic' Hungary mounts after border clashes (September 17)

Austrumeiropiešu noskaņojums pret bēgļiem (September 12)

Flüchtlinge in Ungarn: Sind unsere Nachbarn wirklich so böse? (September 12)

Hungary's Orban plays for high stakes with tough stance on migrants (September 8)

Ungarns Flüchtlingschaos: Willkommenskultur à la Guantanamo (September 7)

VISEGRAD: Orban's cynical game may yet backfire (September 7)

Unabashed Viktor Orban stands firm on migrants (September 4)

Hungary’s prime minister becomes Europe’s Donald Trump (September 4)

„Fără politici coerente, criza refugiaţilor poate exploda“ (September 3)

RTL Nieuws - 19:30 uur (September 2)

Węgry.Ekspert: rząd zabiega o korzyści polityczne w związku z imigracją (September 2)



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