riskandforecast

pension

Flash Report  23/05/11

Government in pensions trap

Almost three million people receive a pension or pension-type allowance. Of those almost one and a half million are below retirement age and claim an allowance based on various legal categories....
Flash Report  15/02/11

Orbán's Speech Marks the Start of the Government's Most Difficult Phase

International investors may feel slightly shortchanged by Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán's state of the nation speech to Parliament February 14....
 
Flash Report  09/08/10

Step in the wrong direction

The government has decided to make it possible for any woman who has worked 40 years to retire no matter what her age. The rule represents a risky step in the wrong direction....
Hungary  02/03/10

Of Programs and Popularity

Fidesz continues to dominate the polls, regardless of accusations that it does not have a program. The Socialists are pushing a more populist tone in order to mobilize their traditional voters....
 
Risk Watch  19/02/10

Election Campaign Does Not Favour the Czech Economy

The Czech economy unexpectedly contracted 0.6% in the fourth quarter of 2009. This followed two quarterly increases that had pulled the country out of recession....
Risk Watch  19/02/10

Polish Plan to Tackle Budget Deficit and State Debt Revealed

The government presented its plan to tackle the budget deficit and soaring government debt at the beginning of February....
 
Romania  19/02/10

IMF Review Positive for Romania

Romania can expect the long-awaited third and fourth installments of its stand-by loan from the IMF after the Fund gave Romania’s economy a favorable review last month....
Political Forecast  03/02/10

2010: Crucial Year for the Coalition in Slovenia

Slovenian government leaders will face an uphill climb this year in implementing their economic program after spending 2009 clumsily trying to find their feet amid the global recession....
 
Political Forecast  03/02/10

Socialist woes in Hungary

The Socialists and the governments suffered numerous setbacks. The property tax has been abolished, more and more heads roll at BKV and the party's poll numbers failed to improve....
Risk Watch  07/12/09

Most Significant Risk Factors that Could Hinder Economic Recovery: Czech Rep.

The unpredictable nature of the Czech Republic’s political landscape is the source of the country’s biggest challenges in recovering from the economic downturn....
 
Risk Watch  23/11/09

Risk Factors that could hinder economic recovery in Poland

Poland’s economy showed surprising resilience to the crisis. However, some economic and political factors can still hold back the country's recovery and hamper economic growth after the crisis....
Bulgaria  23/11/09

2010 Budget Passed in Bulgaria

The new government has passed its first major political hurdle, as Parliament passed the 2010 Budget by a safe margin. In addition, GERB made a clean sweep in this month’s mayoral by-elections....
 
Romania  18/11/09

Most Significant Risk Factors that Could Hinder Economic Recovery in Romania

Acute political instability, risk of insolvency and lack of political transparency with misuse of funds and electoral fraud are the crucial risk factors that could hinder economic recovery in Romania....
Slovenia  13/11/09

Slovenian governments come and go, border issue remains?

Like it, or not, the careers of Slovenian and Croatian prime ministers will be largely defined by the settlement of the border dispute, a goal that had eluded their predecessors since 1991....
 

Rising Tensions in Bosnia-Herczegovina

Bosnians will be potentially able to enter the EU without a visa starting May 2010, but the domestic troubles over the necessary austerity measures trump the agenda....
Bulgaria  27/08/09

The New Bulgarian Government Prepares Cut Back

The new CEDB-led government still enjoys the confidence of 72% of the citizens, but the freshly announced cut backs to curb the budget deficit could erode that support fast....
 
Flash Report  13/08/09

Conflicts over strict election-year budget in Hungary

As the vote on the strict 2010 budget approaches, conflicts between the governing Socialist Party and Hungarian PM Gordon Bajnai became stronger and more visible than before. ...
Risk Warning  16/04/09

Crisis poses threat to pension benefits and the pension reform alike

The economic crisis threatens all three pillars of the Hungarian pension system. The next government(s) under pressure would have to simultaneously meet conflicting the expectations/needs....
 
Political Forecast  15/09/08

Debates over Budget Surplus Spending Plans in Bulgaria

The government starts the new political season in a stable condition. the budget surplus spending plans could trigger internal confrontation as the three ruling parties stated different priorities....
Political Forecast  02/07/08

Bulgarian Socialists Preparing for Congress

The short-term perspective for the Cabinet remains stable. The unity of the parties of the Government will remain firm. Possible destabilizing factor could be the the forthcoming congress of the BSP....
 
 

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