riskandforecast

opposition

Flash Report  02/01/12

Hungary: against the wall

The foundering of loan negotiations would definitely leave the Hungarian economy in a catastrophic state with potentially serious domestic political consequences....
Hungary  07/06/11

Diminishing majority

The Hungarian government celebrated its first year in office on May 29. In terms of popularity, their first six months was a success story. Fidesz stabilized its voter base at over 40 percent of all a...
 
Risk Watch  03/06/11

Government and parliament clash as cracks appear in government

Cracks have appeared within the pro-government supporters in the Kuwaiti parliament, possibly indicating increasing tensions within the ruling family....
Risk Watch  17/05/11

New Kuwaiti government sworn in and grilling requests submitted

The new Kuwaiti government has been sworn in, immediately to face grilling requests from the opposition....
 
Bahrain  02/05/11

Bahrain passes death sentence against rioters

Bahrain sentenced four Shiites to death for their role in the riots last month. Although the ruling is subject to appeal, this is an indication that the unrest will not be resolved imminently....
Risk Watch  02/05/11

GCC fails in brokering Yemen deal as AQAP continues its assault against army

The GCC has so far failed in securing a deal to end the standoff in Yemen. AQAP meanwhile have intensified their attacks against the security forces, particularly in the south....
 
Risk Watch  18/04/11

GCC plan for Yemen solution rejected by protesters

The situation in Yemen is heading towards further complications as signs of splits appear within the opposition camp....
Risk Watch  18/04/11

Sheikh Nasser re-appointed as Prime-minister

Threats by the Kuwaiti opposition to grill Sheikh Nasser as soon as he forms his seventh government in less than five years will likely lead to a complication of the political situation....
 
Risk Watch  16/03/11

Bahrain declares martial law

The King of Bahrain has declared a three-month state of emergency, in which martial law is imposed. The declaration came after calls by Sunni parliamentarians to declare a state of emergency....
Bahrain  01/03/11

Bahrain’s king shuffles cabinet

The Bahraini government appears not to have satisfied the demands of the anti-regime protesters, as banned opposition leader returns from exile....
 
Risk Watch  17/01/11

PM narrowly survives no confidence vote but opposition still call on resignation

The Kuwaiti prime minister narrowly survived a vote of non-compliance in parliament. The very small margin in which the motion was defeated has prompted immediate calls for him to resign....
Risk Watch  03/01/11

Prime minister questioned in parliament as pressure mounts on him to resign

Kuwaiti prime minister is under unprecedented pressure by parliament to resign....
 
Yemen  03/01/11

Ruling party paves way for Saleh to be president for life

Moves by Yemen’s ruling party to enable Saleh to remain president for life are likely to further increase calls for secession in the south....
Flash Report  02/12/10

Smer Smashes Slovak Coalition amid Austerity Angst

Despite getting bounced out of power in last June’s national election, Smer remains Slovakia’s hands-down favorite party, crushing all opponents in the November 27 municipal elections. ...
 
Poland  25/11/10

Municipal Elections Strengthen Poland’s Governing PO Party

Poland held the first round of municipal elections on November 21. Prime Minister Donald Tusk’s Civic Platform (PO) gained a stronger mandate to rule, while the strongest opposition party, former Prim...
Poland  23/11/10

Tusk’s Tightrope Walk Brings Political Payoff in Local Vote

Prime Minister Donald Tusk’s Civic Platform (PO) has emerged from the first round of Poland’s municipal elections with a stronger mandate to rule....
 
Risk Watch  16/11/10

MPs demand minister's resignation over 'meat scandal'

Tensions in Kuwait continue to mount as opposition MPs call for questioning the Minister of Municipalities....
Political Forecast  08/11/10

Half-success: Budget deficit aims 3%

Key Political Trends: Half-success: Budget deficit aims 3%; Restricting the jurisdiction of the Constitutional Court; Ferenc Gyurcsány’s two-front battle against Fidesz and the MSZP leadership...
 
Bahrain  02/11/10

Bahrain elections see Shiites gain; boycott fails

The mainstream Shiite opposition party in Bahrain came out as the biggest winner in the elections, after an attempted boycott by the extreme Shiite group largely failed....
Hungary  28/10/10

Constitutional Court Curtailed: Good news for fiscal balance, bad for democracy

Hungary’s governing Fidesz party initiated an unprecedented effort October 26 to strip the Constitutional Court – Hungary’s final authority on legislative questions – of a number of powers....
 
 

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In the media

Ungheria, ali tarpate per la Malev (February 4)

A Revised Portrait of Hungary's Right-Wing Extremists (February 3)

Verden er blevet mere udemokratisk (January 24)

Hungary PM backs down (January 20)

Circunscripciones a medida (January 19)

Uma lei eleitoral desenhada à medida do Fidesz (January 16)



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