riskandforecast

JOBBIK

Hungary  07/02/12

Not your typical angry young men

Jobbik Facebook fans young, educated, eurosceptic, pessimistic & prejudiced....
In-depth analysis  01/02/12

Populism in Europe: Hungary

Demos and the Political Capital Institute released the first ever study of the Jobbik party’s Facebook fans, based on over 2,000 survey responses....
 
Hungary  16/05/11

Jobbik needs Jews to run the world

This is an edited & updated version of a talk given at the “Conspiracy Theories and Anti-Semitism” conference organised by Political Capital & held recently at the Central European University....
Bulgaria  04/05/11

The second season of patrolling in Hungary

Background of recent events in Gyöngyöspata – an In-Depth analysis by Political Capital....
 
Flash Report  28/03/11

Hungary sitting on a powder keg

The Hungarian government faces its toughest challenge with chilling ethnic tensions in the countryside....
Flash Report  16/11/10

Far right veering off the rails

Jobbik’s leaders are not skirmishing with each other in public. But beneath this facade of unity, internal rifts are threatening to tear the party asunder....
 
Flash Report  04/10/10

Hungary’s Local Elections: Fidesz Clobbers Opponents

Fidesz, which leads the strongest government since 1990, has reached all of its political goals by extending its power over most municipalities....
Political Forecast  20/07/10

IMF Casts Doubt on Hungary’s Fiscal Strategy

Although Hungary currently has no urgent need for outside financing, the IMF loan served as a safety net should the country find itself in a tight spot....
 
Flash Report  26/04/10

Hungary will have its Strongest Government since the Transition

With 68% of the seats in Parliament, Hungarian Prime Minister-in-waiting Viktor Orbán and his Fidesz party will be able to form the most stable government Hungary has had since the transition....
Flash Report  26/04/10

An economic house divided

Fidesz, the party that scored an unassailable majority Hungary’s parliament this month, may discover that it has pitched its tent too wide....
 
Chart of the Week  15/04/10

Hungarian Elections: A Success for Non-parliamentary Parties

Four parties reached the 5% threshold for parliamentary representation in the first round of Hungary’s general election on April 11. Two of them had never made it into Parliament before: The far-right...
Flash Report  12/04/10

Fidesz is Very Close to a Two-Thirds Majority in Parliament

Results from the first round of Hungary’s general elections on April 11 have made it clear that Fidesz will have an absolute majority in the next Parliament....
 
Flash Report  11/04/10

Jobbik Scores Big in Hungary’s Parliamentary Election: Now what?

The ultra right-wing Jobbik party’s successful performance in the first round of Hungary’s general election may come as a shock, but it is no surprise....
Political Forecast  26/03/10

Fidesz treads lightly on budget deficit in election manifesto

As Fidesz gets closer to governance, its politicians are becoming more and more cautious when talking about their program. Fidesz’s policy wonks are putting less emphasis on stimulating the economy....
 
Flash Report  16/03/10

To stand down or not to stand down?

The first round of Hungary’s elections on April 11 will fundamentally change the country’s political landscape. The political dividing line may shift radically....
Chart of the Week  09/03/10

Race for the right-wing voters between FIDESZ and JOBBIK

With a little more than a month to go before Hungary holds parliamentary elections, the main opposition party Fidesz continues to enjoy a massive advantage, opinion polls show. With 60% support among ...
 
Political Forecast  02/03/10

Of Programs and Popularity

Fidesz continues to dominate the polls, regardless of accusations that it does not have a program. The Socialists are pushing a more populist tone in order to mobilize their traditional voters....
Bulgaria  11/02/10

Back by Popular Demand

The extreme right is in demand - at least in Eastern Europe. That's the conclusion of Political Capital Institute’s Demand for Right-Wing Extremism Index (DEREX), published in Hungarian weekly HVG....
 
Hungary  10/02/10

A Two-Thirds Majority for Fidesz – Chances, Opportunities and Risks

The opposition Fidesz party is heading into the April election campaign with such a commanding opinion-poll lead that it may gain a two-thirds majority in Parliament....
Political Forecast  19/01/10

The election campaign is heating up in Hungary

The president is expected to announce the dates of the 2010 general election in late January, with the first round likely to fall on April 11 and the second on April 25....
 
 

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In the media

Ungheria, ali tarpate per la Malev (February 4)

A Revised Portrait of Hungary's Right-Wing Extremists (February 3)

Verden er blevet mere udemokratisk (January 24)

Hungary PM backs down (January 20)

Circunscripciones a medida (January 19)

Uma lei eleitoral desenhada à medida do Fidesz (January 16)



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