riskandforecast

Foreign Policy

Flash Report  18/01/12

The current state of the loan agreement and the options of the government

By now Viktor Orbán has manoeuvred himself into a corner where his options are limited to bad and even worse political choices....
Flash Report  02/01/12

Hungary: against the wall

The foundering of loan negotiations would definitely leave the Hungarian economy in a catastrophic state with potentially serious domestic political consequences....
 
Croatia  22/11/11

MOL in Croatia – Lull before the storm

The Croatian government failed to put legal controls on the Hungarian Company’s business share, which means that it will leave the resolution of the problem to the incoming administration....
Flash Report  31/05/11

Mol-affair: Foreign policy coup with potentially risky consequences

On May 24, Prime Minister Viktor Orbán unexpectedly, although not without preliminaries, announced: the government acquired the 21.2% stake of Russia’s Surgutneftegaz in MOL for EUR 1.88 billion....
 
Risk Watch  17/05/11

Qatar under regional pressure as it pulls out of Yemen role

The regional role of Qatar is under immense pressure....
Risk Watch  02/05/11

Iran relations with GCC deteriorate markedly

The relationships between the GCC and Iran have deteriorated on a number of fronts....
 
Risk Watch  02/05/11

Syria lifts emergency rule but riots intensify

Syria has lifted the emergency law but the riots intensified calling for regime change. With an increase in US sanctions, the Syrian regime faces greater difficulties....
Hungary  11/01/11

The Challenge of Hungary's European Union Presidency: Success or failure?

2011 is the year Central Europe took over Brussels. Hungary will be at the helm of EU's rotating presidency for the next six months, to be followed by Poland in the second half of the year....
 
Flash Report  13/12/10

Wine and Whine: The budding fruits of Hungary’s EU Presidency

As Hungary packs up its Bermuda shorts for a six-month stay at the Brussels beach, it might be fair to ask: What exactly do we expect to get out of this?...
Risk Watch  01/12/10

Wikileaks claim GCC leaders urged attack on Iran

The US diplomatic cables published by wikileaks is likely to increase the risk of Iranian or Shiite attacks against some GCC states, who are claimed to have pushed the US to bomb Iran....
 
Risk Watch  16/11/10

UAE imposes Visa restrictions on visiting Canadians

Relations between the UAE and Canada have deteriorated as the UAE announces that Canadians will require visas to enter the UAE....
Risk Watch  18/10/10

GCC carriers threatened as Air France KLM accuses them of receiving subsidies

GCC airlines feel threatened as Air France KLM accuse them of unfair competition and Canada refuses to grant UAE carriers further landing rights....
 
Slovakia  27/08/10

Slovakia’s PM Holds Her Ground

New Slovak Prime Minister Iveta Radičová met August 25 with German Chancellor Angela Merkel in Berlin to discuss – among other things – the Slovak Parliament’s decision to withhold its €800 million co...
Risk Watch  17/08/10

Germany releases Israeli suspect and UAE 'concerned'

The release on bail of Israeli suspect implicated in the forging of passports allegedly used in the assassination of the Hamas leader in Dubai has embarrassed the UAE authorities....
 
Iraq  16/07/10

Kuwaiti anger over Iraqi border comments

A spat between Kuwait and Iraq could lead into more serious crisis for Kuwait both internally and externally....
Flash Report  05/07/10

Komorowski Takes Polish Presidency, but Kaczyński Poised for Comeback

Polish voters have picked Bronisław Komorowski of the governing Civic Platform (PO) party to be their president for the next five years....
 
Iran  01/07/10

Saudi Arabia accused by Iran of assisting Israel

Allegations in the Iranian and Israeli press that Saudi Arabia is cooperating with Israel on possible attack against Iran will raise tensions between the Saudi government and Shiites....
Flash Report  21/06/10

Slovakia: Political shift, but no U-turn

It is too early to talk about an anti-populist, market-friendly U-turn in Slovakia. The governing parties won 44.2 percent of the vote together, just 5.5 per cent less than in 2006....
 
Kuwait  16/06/10

US criticizes Kuwait over arrest of blogger

The arrest of a prominent Kuwaiti blogger has prompted the US State Department to criticize Kuwait....
Saudi Arabia  16/06/10

Saudi Arabia denies opening up skies for Israeli airstrike against Iran

News that Saudi Arabia has agreed to allow Israel to use its airspace to attack Iran will threaten the internal stability of the Kingdom, even though Saudi Arabia has denied the reports....
 
 

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