riskandforecast

Fiscal Policy

Flash Report  18/01/12

The current state of the loan agreement and the options of the government

By now Viktor Orbán has manoeuvred himself into a corner where his options are limited to bad and even worse political choices....
Hungary  11/01/12

Hungary: 2012 kicks off with a record-breaking first week

2012 couldn’t have started worse for the Orbán cabinet. Most financial indicators declined sharply in December and this trend continued in the first week of 2012, reaching levels never seen before. Hu...
 
Flash Report  02/01/12

Hungary: against the wall

The foundering of loan negotiations would definitely leave the Hungarian economy in a catastrophic state with potentially serious domestic political consequences....

Bank deposits increase but banks reluctant to lend

Figures released by the UAE Central Bank indicate that bank deposits have reached their highest level in almost two years....
 
Flash Report  31/05/11

Mol-affair: Foreign policy coup with potentially risky consequences

On May 24, Prime Minister Viktor Orbán unexpectedly, although not without preliminaries, announced: the government acquired the 21.2% stake of Russia’s Surgutneftegaz in MOL for EUR 1.88 billion....
Flash Report  23/05/11

Government in pensions trap

Almost three million people receive a pension or pension-type allowance. Of those almost one and a half million are below retirement age and claim an allowance based on various legal categories....
 
Hungary  11/04/11

Successful first quarter for Hungarian CDS spreads

Hungary’s credit default swaps (CDS) dropped to 254 basis points at the end of Q1 2011. In the previous edition of CMA Datavision Global Sovereign Credit Risk Report’s Hungary was among the top 10 ris...
Bahrain  04/04/11

Continuing unrest undermining Bahrain’s financial hub

Bahrain is losing its edge as a financial centre as banks and financial institutions temporarily leave the country. ...
 
Hungary  02/03/11

The Spring of Our Discontent

The Hungarian government outlines an ambitious spending-cut package. The destination is clear, but the road is still under construction....
Flash Report  15/02/11

Orbán's Speech Marks the Start of the Government's Most Difficult Phase

International investors may feel slightly shortchanged by Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán's state of the nation speech to Parliament February 14....
 
Oman  17/01/11

Oman approves five-year development plan and endorses record 2011 budget

Oman endorses another five-year development plan. The plan will contribute further to the so far apparently successful economic efforts by the government to diversify the economy....
Risk Watch  17/01/11

Dilution fears for UAE blue-chip stocks

Negative news about two of the UAE’s leading companies threaten to shake economic confidence in the country....
 
Dubai  17/01/11

Dubai's Zabeel seeks debt restructuring as Dubai may seek to privatize assets

Dubai government-affiliated Zabeel group is seeking to restructure over US $1.6 in debt, as the government hints at privatization of infrastructure companies....
Hungary  13/01/11

Hungary Joins the Top 10 Riskiest countries

Hungary has entered the group of the 10 riskiest countries for sovereign debt investors, according to a study by CMA Datavision published January 7. Hungary's credit default swaps (CDS) closed Decembe...
 

UAE cuts budget by 6 %

The UAE’s cuts its budget by 6%, freezing spending on universities and cutting spending on utilities....
Flash Report  13/12/10

Wine and Whine: The budding fruits of Hungary’s EU Presidency

As Hungary packs up its Bermuda shorts for a six-month stay at the Brussels beach, it might be fair to ask: What exactly do we expect to get out of this?...
 
Dubai  01/12/10

Dubai considers selling off prized assets to pay debts

The announcement that Dubai is now planning to consider selling some of its assets is confirmation that the emirate has given up on trying to resolve its crisis with help from Abu Dhabi....
Hungary  29/11/10

Fidesz phase two: unraveling Orbán's oxymoron

Now that voters have handed PM Viktor Orbán what amounts to a blank cheque to govern, he is ready to begin the second phase of his governance: cleaning up the budget mess and spurring economic growth...
 
Flash Report  23/11/10

Tusk’s Tightrope Walk Brings Political Payoff in Local Vote

Prime Minister Donald Tusk’s Civic Platform (PO) has emerged from the first round of Poland’s municipal elections with a stronger mandate to rule....

Abu Dhabi’s Aldar in difficulty as Abu Dhabi faces property oversupply

Abu Dhabi developer Aldar is reportedly seeking a government bailout as it’s CEO resigns, its shares tumble and the government announces that Abu Dhabi has an oversupply of real-estate....
 
 

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Ungheria, ali tarpate per la Malev (February 4)

A Revised Portrait of Hungary's Right-Wing Extremists (February 3)

Verden er blevet mere udemokratisk (January 24)

Hungary PM backs down (January 20)

Circunscripciones a medida (January 19)

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