riskandforecast

ethnic tension

Risk Watch  30/06/11

Saleh clings to power as AQAP makes further advances

Yemen’s president Ali Abdullah Saleh remains defiant about his imminent return to Yemen. This indicates that the Saudis have still not been able to broker a deal. ...
Risk Watch  17/06/11

Saleh goes to Saudi Arabia for treatment as Yemen falls into further chaos

With the situation still unresolved, the return to normality will likely take longer as Yemen is gripped by mass protests, and parts of the country falling into the hands of militants....
 
Yemen  03/06/11

Civil war erupts in Yemen as GCC initiative fails

Yemen has erupted into civil war with various parts of the country falling under the control of opposition groups, including AQAP....
Yemen  17/05/11

Dozens of protesters killed and wounded in continuing protests in Yemen

The stagnation of the Yemeni crisis are significantly increasing the risk of a civil war....
 
Risk Watch  17/05/11

Bahrain to lift state of emergency from June 1

The King’s decision to lift the state of emergency days before it is due to expire and its welcome by the Shiite opposition indicates that both sides are ready to start reconciliation efforts....
Flash Report  16/05/11

Jobbik needs Jews to run the world

This is an edited & updated version of a talk given at the “Conspiracy Theories and Anti-Semitism” conference organised by Political Capital & held recently at the Central European University....
 
Europe  13/05/11

Multiculturalism in the Cross-Hairs

The debate on the social integration of the Muslim minority totalling 5 to 8 per cent of the population has risen to the highest political level in the large receiving countries in Europe. ...
Bulgaria  04/05/11

The second season of patrolling in Hungary

Background of recent events in Gyöngyöspata – an In-Depth analysis by Political Capital....
 
Risk Watch  02/05/11

Iran relations with GCC deteriorate markedly

The relationships between the GCC and Iran have deteriorated on a number of fronts....
Risk Watch  02/05/11

Syria lifts emergency rule but riots intensify

Syria has lifted the emergency law but the riots intensified calling for regime change. With an increase in US sanctions, the Syrian regime faces greater difficulties....
 
Bahrain  02/05/11

Bahrain passes death sentence against rioters

Bahrain sentenced four Shiites to death for their role in the riots last month. Although the ruling is subject to appeal, this is an indication that the unrest will not be resolved imminently....
Risk Watch  02/05/11

GCC fails in brokering Yemen deal as AQAP continues its assault against army

The GCC has so far failed in securing a deal to end the standoff in Yemen. AQAP meanwhile have intensified their attacks against the security forces, particularly in the south....
 
Bahrain  18/04/11

Bahrain delays ban of main Shiite parties

The situation in Bahrain is far from being resolved with government threats to ban mainstream Shiite party Al Wefaq. ...
Risk Watch  18/04/11

Mass protests across Syria as new government fails to appease protesters

Syria appears to head towards further unrest as the new government has failed to appease protesters....
 
Risk Watch  18/04/11

GCC plan for Yemen solution rejected by protesters

The situation in Yemen is heading towards further complications as signs of splits appear within the opposition camp....
Risk Watch  18/04/11

Sheikh Nasser re-appointed as Prime-minister

Threats by the Kuwaiti opposition to grill Sheikh Nasser as soon as he forms his seventh government in less than five years will likely lead to a complication of the political situation....
 
Risk Watch  04/04/11

Millions continue protests as army officers defect and AQAP elated by unrest

Yemen has descended into further chaos as senior army officers defected. AQAP has taken charge of various areas, and the Houthis have also claimed key areas in Sa’ada....
Hungary  28/03/11

Hungary sitting on a powder keg

The Hungarian government faces its toughest challenge with chilling ethnic tensions in the countryside....
 
Risk Watch  16/03/11

Bahrain declares martial law

The King of Bahrain has declared a three-month state of emergency, in which martial law is imposed. The declaration came after calls by Sunni parliamentarians to declare a state of emergency....
Risk Watch  16/03/11

Protests continue after Oman sultan cedes some powers

Concessions made by the Sultan of Oman have not satisfied the protestors demands....
 
 

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