riskandforecast

Corruption

Flash Report  15/07/10

Bulgarian Prosecutors Charge Former PM Stanishev

Bulgarian prosecutors charged opposition leader and former Prime Minister Sergey Stanishev with mishandling seven classified reports that went missing during his term in power....
In-depth analysis  09/06/10

Hungary Faces Mounting Risks of Corruption, Prejudice and Press Restrictions

Hungary’s 2010 Political Risk Index (PRI) score is 66 points – the first year the country’s political risk has declined since the index began in 2005....
 
Political Forecast  01/06/10

Conflicts with the Central Bank and the northern neighbour

As the new government will have little room for boosting the budget deficit, its economic policy will not represent a sharp turn from that pursued by the Bajnai-cabinet....
Political Forecast  19/05/10

Bulgaria Derailed from the Fast Track to the Eurozone

The Citizens for European Development of Bulgaria (GERB) government continues to be stable despite persistent economic troubles and a drop in popularity....
 
Flash Report  26/04/10

Hungary will have its Strongest Government since the Transition

With 68% of the seats in Parliament, Hungarian Prime Minister-in-waiting Viktor Orbán and his Fidesz party will be able to form the most stable government Hungary has had since the transition....
Risk Watch  01/04/10

Bahrain minister sacked in corruption scandal as media ban imposed

The sacking of a Bahraini cabinet minister after being questioned by police and the following media ban on the case raises questions about the seriousness of the government to combat corruption....
 
Flash Report  26/03/10

Hungarian/Bulgarian corruption busters – cowboy style

Twenty years after communism collapsed, people in Europe’s Wild East are crying out for justice as politicians – many of them former communists – ransack the public purse with impunity....
Political Forecast  09/03/10

Fight against organized crime boosts government's strength in Bulgaria

Public attention is focused on the special operations against organized crime. These operations will allow GERB to establish a normal chain of command in the security services....
 
Political Forecast  09/03/10

Struggle for power and influence within the Slovenian government

Despite the eternal bickering, the situation in the coalition and parliament is essentially stable. An imminent political crisis, government reshuffle or leadership change is not on the horizon....
Political Forecast  02/03/10

Of Programs and Popularity

Fidesz continues to dominate the polls, regardless of accusations that it does not have a program. The Socialists are pushing a more populist tone in order to mobilize their traditional voters....
 
Risk Watch  19/02/10

Alexei Petrov Arrested in Bulgaria

Former State Agency for National Security (SANS) official Alexei Petrov was arrested on February 9 during a special operation codenamed "Octopus"....
Risk Watch  19/02/10

The Czech Election Race is Totally Open

The Czech Republic's election race is wide open: Two-, three-, or maybe even four-party coalitions are all possible, including the Communists taking part in a government lead by the Social Democrats....
 
Risk Watch  19/02/10

Slovak PM Fico Heads into June Elections with no Credible Challenger

Slovakia’s senior governing party Smer may be able to gain an absolute majority in the June elections, unless most small parties pass the 5% for parliamentary representation....
Flash Report  12/02/10

BKV: End of the line for the teflon party

Give credit to the governing Hungarian Socialist Party (MSZP)’s PR people. They helped transform Gyula Horn into the man who the greatest number of Hungarians wanted to be prime minister in 1994....
 
Flash Report  10/02/10

A Two-Thirds Majority for Fidesz – Chances, Opportunities and Risks

The opposition Fidesz party is heading into the April election campaign with such a commanding opinion-poll lead that it may gain a two-thirds majority in Parliament....
Political Forecast  03/02/10

2010: Crucial Year for the Coalition in Slovenia

Slovenian government leaders will face an uphill climb this year in implementing their economic program after spending 2009 clumsily trying to find their feet amid the global recession....
 
Political Forecast  03/02/10

Socialist woes in Hungary

The Socialists and the governments suffered numerous setbacks. The property tax has been abolished, more and more heads roll at BKV and the party's poll numbers failed to improve....
Political Forecast  19/01/10

The election campaign is heating up in Hungary

The president is expected to announce the dates of the 2010 general election in late January, with the first round likely to fall on April 11 and the second on April 25....
 
Risk Watch  14/12/09

Polish PM Donald Tusk Still the Presidential Frontrunner

The Blackjack-gate scandal has failed to put a notable dent in Donald Tusk's and the Civic Platform's popularity....
Flash Report  10/12/09

Political Turbulence in Croatia Hammers Hungary’s Mol

Croatia's government, opposition and media commentators are slamming MOL after uncovering what they consider irregularities in MOL's purchase of a 22% stake in Croatia's biggest energy company, INA....
 
 

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