Risk Watch
The Blackjack-gate scandal has failed to put a notable dent in Donald Tusk's and the Civic Platform's popularity....
The contest between incumbent Traian Băsescu and his Social Democratic opponent, Mircea Geoană, was a nail-biter until the very end. However, it failed to result in a clear cut situation....
Slovakian leaders are engaged in a quarrel over the new law that lets the state to take over bankrupt companies deemed "strategic." The first target: Chemical firm Novácke Chemické Závody (NChZ)....
The unpredictable nature of the Czech Republic’s political landscape is the source of the country’s biggest challenges in recovering from the economic downturn....
Slovakia carried out deeper structural and public-finance reforms in 2002-2006 than any of its regional peers. But the economic model that Slovakia created is now undermining its financial health....
The announcement by Dubai that it will ask its creditors for a payment "standstill" raises very serious concerns about Dubai’s ability to continue its development plans in the short to medium term....
Tensions between the Kuwaiti parliament and government have escalated. This raises the possibility of dissolution of parliament and a temporary suspension of the constitution....
The Saudi involvement in the Sa’ada war along the Yemeni-Saudi border is turning the conflict into a regional one, with implications for Shiite-Sunni relations in other GCC states, such as Bahrain....
Yemen is trying to improve conditions for foreign investors to address its rapidly deteriorating economy. For any legislative reforms to be effective, they need to be accompanied by political reforms....
Yemen faces one of its most serious tests since re-unification as protests by the Southern Movement intensifies, calling for secession....
Qatar has announced plans to build a massive rail network, in partnership with Deutsche Bahn. This will aid Qatar’s economic diversification efforts....
The sixth Sa’ada war that started off as an internal civil war in Yemen has become a regional conflict....
Poland’s economy showed surprising resilience to the crisis. However, some economic and political factors can still hold back the country's recovery and hamper economic growth after the crisis....
Acute political instability, risk of insolvency and lack of political transparency with misuse of funds and electoral fraud are the crucial risk factors that could hinder economic recovery in Romania....
The Kuwaiti opposition has announced plans to grill the prime-minister in parliament and the interior minister refers himself to the ministers’ tribunal....
Abu Dhabi announced plans to spend US$ 1 trillion on developing its economy. The emirate is capable of undertaking such ambitious plans to position itself as a regional hub for non-oil activities....
Dubai-government owned developer Nakheel has indirectly acknowledged that it does not plan to continue building its flagship man-made island project the Jebel Ali Palm....
Tensions between Sunnis and Shiites in Yemen and Saudi Arabia have erupted, as well as the deteriorating situation in Yemen, contributing to an increase of hostility between the two regimes....
Yemen will be receiving military aid and training from the US to combat the multiple threats it faces. This will help the government tackle those threats, as it struggles to keep the country united....
Fighting in Saadi, Yemen has spread into Saudi Arabia. This threatens to widen the conflict into a longer-term regional one, and result in increasing the risk of ethnic instability in the GCC region....