riskandforecast

public opinion

Hungary  13/08/09

Roma Murders in Kisléta Dominate Political Discourse in Hungary

The latest attack against a Roma family in Kislétamoved the Roma issue and public security back to the agenda. Meanwhile, conflicts are expected within the MSZP over the strict 2010 budget....
Poland  29/07/09

Disagreements between Tusk and Kaczyński hinder budget-controlling efforts

The rising Polish budget deficit pits the PM and the President against each other. Disagreements and political fights endanger the curbing of the deficit....
 
Romania  29/07/09

Corruption Charges Amid Economic Woes

Romania’s economic outlook has not improved, and the budget deficit is becoming a concern for more economic players, and corruption charges against ministers do not help either....
Slovakia  27/07/09

Smer’s advantage is still high but can melt by 2010

A balance of political forces seems to have been frozen in Slovakia for months now, though the leading governing party did not manage to gain the predicted proportion of votes in June at the EP electi...
 
Czech Republic  20/07/09

Czech caretaker government rebuilt the confidence in political institutions

After a decline due to the political crisis in March and April, the new caretaker government led by Jan Fischer (and supported by both political sides) was able to increase confidence not only in the ...
Hungary  29/06/09

Popularity of Government and EU Hand in Hand

Since joining the European Union, the trend of trust in the EU and in the national governments has moved in parallel in Hungarian public opinion polls. The voters project their overall sentiments abou...
 
Croatia  19/05/09

Problems Characterize the Government's first 6 Months

Borut Pahor’s ruling has been marked by three issues: the global economic crisis, the Slovenian-Croatian border dispute, attacks of the opposition a discreet criticism of the coalition partners....
Hungary  15/05/09

Huge Opposition Victory in Pécs, Hungary

MSZP suffered a staggering defeat in the mayoral elections of Pécs, and that can be seen as an indicator to the EP elections....
 
Bulgaria  28/04/09

Deepening conflicts in East- and Central-Europe: increasing short-term risks

The governments cannot cooperate with the opposition as it tries to turn the crisis to its own advantage. The crisis deepens existing fault lines that undermine socio-political stability in CEE....
Bulgaria  12/01/09

The Rise of the Extreme Right in Central-Eastern Europe

In the past two months a number of extreme right were banned by court order in East- and Central-Europe.With a consistent policy, radical rhetoric may lose ground in the medium term....
 
Hungary  18/10/08

Extremists increase their influence over society in Hungary

Far right activism since the autumn of 2006 have increased its potential social base and political playing room. Anti-Semitism and anti-roma sentiment continue to be a major identity-building force....
Bulgaria  15/09/08

Debates over Budget Surplus Spending Plans in Bulgaria

The government starts the new political season in a stable condition. the budget surplus spending plans could trigger internal confrontation as the three ruling parties stated different priorities....
 
Bulgaria  18/08/08

Temporary Peace due to the Parliamentary Vacation in Bulgaria

The commemoration of the establishment of the socialist party last week seems to have suppressed the internal conflicts. The parliamentary vacation also brought about the political peace....
Bulgaria  18/06/08

No Threat to the Government in the Short Term

In a short-term the government will remain stable regardless of the rising discontent. This will be guaranteed mostly by the firm parliamentary majority rather by implementing policies and reforms....
 
Hungary  16/05/08

‘State dependence’ of Hungarians is a major block to economic growth

Economic and political processes in Hungary are extensively influenced by voters’ anti-market and anti-competition sentiments. This has a considerably negative effect on competitiveness. ...
 

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