Political Forecast
The rise in MSZP’s approval rating last month proved to be a temporary one, so they face the same problems that they had in the spring. ...
Radical demonstrators perturbed the procession on Gay Pride Day, which was condemned by parliamentary parties. Mr. Gyurcsány failed garner support for his “Hungarian Charta” initiative....
The expected vote of no confidence most certainly will not pass. The majority remains stable and the opposition does not have the needed 121 MPs to depose the government....
Ferenc Gyurcsány’s position as the head of the government and MSZP has improved. SZDSZ has also strengthened, which could make it a possible ally to FIDESZ in seeking early elections....
The short-term perspective for the Cabinet remains stable. The unity of the parties of the Government will remain firm. Possible destabilizing factor could be the the forthcoming congress of the BSP....
In a short-term the government will remain stable regardless of the rising discontent. This will be guaranteed mostly by the firm parliamentary majority rather by implementing policies and reforms....
Fidesz is consciously courting economic players, preparing for an early election. The presidential election of SZDSZ has failed to produce a stable situation in the party....
The political environment is becoming less and less advantageous to the government. Fidesz has started a campaign that is aimed at attacking the government on economic grounds....
Ferenc Gyurcsány's position has stabilized for the moment, it can only be maintained if he is successful in garnering parliamentary support for the proposals of the minority government....
The new government is not likely to initiate reforms and it will possibly enact popular measures to cater former MSZP voters. Ferenc Gyurcsány's has significantly weakened, but he has no alternative....
While the results of the referendum is a big defeat of the government, reshuffle is not expected in the next few months, but policy changes will follow....
Ferenc Gyurcsány tried to undermine the last push of Fidesz by announcing potentially popular initiatives, while Fidesz tries to win voters in the political centre....
The parties are trying to present the referendum according to their priorities. Whatever the result, major political shift is not expected in the short term....
Parties are preparing their campaign for the referendum on 9 March. The result will alter the strategies of the government and the opposition as well....
Ungheria, ali tarpate per la Malev (February 4)
A Revised Portrait of Hungary's Right-Wing Extremists (February 3)
Verden er blevet mere udemokratisk (January 24)
Hungary PM backs down (January 20)
Circunscripciones a medida (January 19)
Uma lei eleitoral desenhada à medida do Fidesz (January 16)
