Finance
Atrocities at a soccer match in Dunajská Streda/Slovakia lead to rising tensions with Slovakia. Due to the crisis-mandated austerity measures, unions plan strikes. The IMF granted a rescue package....
The so called “EPP format” consisting of CEDB, UDF and DSB appears to be an ineffective form of oppositional cooperation....
The main factor of government instability during the past two weeks continues to be the ongoing struggle between lobbies within the Bulgarian Socialist Party. ...
Internal conflict between the circles of Bulgarian Socialist Party has intensified with the National Congress approaching....
The government starts the new political season in a stable condition. the budget surplus spending plans could trigger internal confrontation as the three ruling parties stated different priorities....
In August public interest in politics is very low. This eased the political pressure by the opposition, calmed down the public discontent towards the government....
The commemoration of the establishment of the socialist party last week seems to have suppressed the internal conflicts. The parliamentary vacation also brought about the political peace....
The short-term perspective for the Cabinet remains stable. The unity of the parties of the Government will remain firm. Possible destabilizing factor could be the the forthcoming congress of the BSP....
In a short-term the government will remain stable regardless of the rising discontent. This will be guaranteed mostly by the firm parliamentary majority rather by implementing policies and reforms....
The US subprime crisis will substantially reduce economic growth in the US and in Europe. As a result, Hungarian exports will likely decline and reduce the chances of a healthy economic growth....
The consequences of the 9 March referendum and the ongoing coalition crisis have sharply raised the vulnerability of the Hungarian currency (HUF)....
The parties are trying to present the referendum according to their priorities. Whatever the result, major political shift is not expected in the short term....