EU
The government starts the new political season in a stable condition. the budget surplus spending plans could trigger internal confrontation as the three ruling parties stated different priorities....
In August public interest in politics is very low. This eased the political pressure by the opposition, calmed down the public discontent towards the government....
The commemoration of the establishment of the socialist party last week seems to have suppressed the internal conflicts. The parliamentary vacation also brought about the political peace....
The cabinet of Sergei Stanishev (BSP) survived the 6th vote of no confidence. The opposition failed because the governing coalition has 150 votes in the 240 seat parliament....
The expected vote of no confidence most certainly will not pass. The majority remains stable and the opposition does not have the needed 121 MPs to depose the government....
The short-term perspective for the Cabinet remains stable. The unity of the parties of the Government will remain firm. Possible destabilizing factor could be the the forthcoming congress of the BSP....
In a short-term the government will remain stable regardless of the rising discontent. This will be guaranteed mostly by the firm parliamentary majority rather by implementing policies and reforms....