riskandforecast

EU

Slovakia  24/08/09

GDP Shrink in Slovakia in the Second Quarter

Slovakia's GDP shrank by 5.3 percent year-on-year in the second quarter of 2009. ...
Kosovo  11/08/09

Serious Coalition Troubles in Serbia

The stability of the Serbian government is seriously threatened by internal feuds, while the Serbian Progressive Party (SNS) consolidated its dominance in the opposition....
 
Albania  04/08/09

New Croatian PM Facing the same problems as his predecesssor

The new PM Jadranka Kosor is facing largely the same problems as his predecessor, such as economic slowdown, fight against corruption and organized crime, and EU accession. ...
Macedonia (FYROM)  29/07/09

PM Trying to Rebuild his Cabinet after Resignations

Macedonia’s conservative PM Nikola Gruevski is rebuilding his cabinet after the resignations of several ministers....
 
Hungary  29/07/09

The Language Act Continues to Stir Controversies

The Slovak State Language Act is in favour of the leading governing parties regarding the elections due in 2010, but preserves bad relations with Hungary....
Hungary  24/07/09

Improving Hungarian Economy Stabilizes Government

Successes in the economic sphere will improve government stability, and the government will continue to handle adherence to the 2009 3.9% GDP-rated deficit as a top priority....
 
Albania  21/07/09

The Bosnia and Herzegovina Stand-by Agreement with the IMF is in Question

The BiH stand-by agreement with the IMF is jeopardized by the FBiH government’s inability to agree upon budget revision. ...
Macedonia (FYROM)  09/07/09

Economic troubles in Macedonia (FYROM)

The financial crisis is taking its toll on the country, and the Prime Minister wants EU mission to end....
 
Romania  09/07/09

Campaign in Romania Gears up amid Bleak Economic Outlooks

Romania’s economic outlook remains bleak in 2009. Published reports expect a 7% GDP drop. The coming presidential election campaign casts doubt on the implementation of all the necessary steps....
Hungary  09/07/09

Chances for Early Elections in Hungary Diminished

With the passage of the tax bill, the chances of early elections in Hungary have diminished. Having implemented almost all components of a short-term crisis management program, it is now in a vacuum....
 
Hungary  29/06/09

Popularity of Government and EU Hand in Hand

Since joining the European Union, the trend of trust in the EU and in the national governments has moved in parallel in Hungarian public opinion polls. The voters project their overall sentiments abou...
Kosovo  19/06/09

Unsolved Name Issue Plague Macedonian Government

Unsolved name issue might cause turbulence within the government,ethnic Albanian Democratic Union for Integration (DUI) might leave the government before the end of the year....
 

Name Issue still Plagues Macedonian Government

Macedonia, although hit by the consequences of the financial crisis, continues to remain an economically and politically stable country, although the name issue still divides the government....
Risk Watch  18/06/09

Bulgarian results on the European Parliamentary elections seen as indicator

The results of the European Elections in Bulgaria showed that the governing parties still hold majority of the votes, but not enough for a majority after the July elections. FDI saw a 50% decline YoY....
 
Czech Republic  18/06/09

ODS comeback on the Czech EP Elections

The European election is seen as an indicator of party strengths ahead of early general elections in the Czech Republic; however, balance of forces can change radically in the next few months....
Macedonia (FYROM)  18/06/09

Budget and ethnic woes in Macedonia (FYROM)

The revision of budget projections for 2009 is an important step to guarantee the stability of the public finances and the confidence of foreign investors, however steeper cuts will be needed....
 
Poland  18/06/09

Safe win for Donald Tusk and the PO on the Polish EP Elections

Donald Tusk’s cabinet in Poland is the most stable coalition in the region at the moment, taking more than 50% of the votes on the EP elections....
Romania  18/06/09

Romanian big coalition wins on the European Parliamentary elections

In Romania, the parties of the big coalition dominate the political field with an almost equal, head-to-head result. Meanwhile, the slump in the Romanian economy is deeper than expected....
 
Slovakia  18/06/09

Record low Slovakian turnout on the 2009 European Elections

For the second time in succession, Slovakia recorded the lowest voter turnout among all EU countries in the European Parliament elections: 19,6%. Meanwhile, economic forecasts turned for the worse....
Hungary  16/06/09

Unstability Follows EP Elections in Hungary

Major conflicts are ahead, and the government's fate hinges on the tax bill vote in Parliament. ...
 
 

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