riskandforecast

EU

Bulgaria  21/12/09

Bulgarian Opposition Still No Threat to the Government

Apart from minor conflicts GERB remains stable, while opposition parties continue to feud among themselves....
Risk Watch  14/12/09

Bulgarian Government Sets Eurozone Entry as Top Priority

At the Economist Conferences' Eighth Business Roundtable with the Government of Bulgaria, PM Borisov declared his government would make every effort to adopt the euro before its term expires in 2014....
 
Macedonia (FYROM)  14/12/09

Decision on Macedonian EU Membership Talks Postponed Until 2010

The European Union on December 8 deferred a decision on opening membership talks with Macedonia after Greece shot the proposal down....
Slovakia  14/12/09

Slovak State Eyes First “Strategic Enterprise” for Acquisition

Slovakian leaders are engaged in a quarrel over the new law that lets the state to take over bankrupt companies deemed "strategic." The first target: Chemical firm Novácke Chemické Závody (NChZ)....
 
Montenegro  09/12/09

Going into debt seems unavoidable for the Montenegrin government

Montenegro’s 2010 budget foresees an ever-narrowing range of financial resources as the crisis grinds on. The state will probably be forced to go into debt in order to keep fiscal equilibrium....
Hungary  08/12/09

2010 Budget Passed in Hungary

The smooth passage of the 2010 budget marks the beginning of the end for the Bajnai cabinet. The budget was the government’s last major hurdle....
 
Romania  08/12/09

Presidential Vote Fails to Resolve Political Deadlock

Hopes that Romania's presidential election would break the political logjam were dashed as accusations of election fraud undermine the credibility of incumbent President Băsescu’s slim victory....
Bulgaria  23/11/09

2010 Budget Passed in Bulgaria

The new government has passed its first major political hurdle, as Parliament passed the 2010 Budget by a safe margin. In addition, GERB made a clean sweep in this month’s mayoral by-elections....
 
Romania  18/11/09

Most Significant Risk Factors that Could Hinder Economic Recovery in Romania

Acute political instability, risk of insolvency and lack of political transparency with misuse of funds and electoral fraud are the crucial risk factors that could hinder economic recovery in Romania....
Serbia  03/11/09

The government has stabilized the political and economic situation in Serbia

Serbian parliamentary leaders are able to suppress internal coalition disagreements, but a cabinet reshuffle cannot be ruled out. Ministers of the G17+ could be replaced by more loyal politicians....
 
Hungary  28/10/09

Reasons Behind the Resurgence of the Far Right in Hungary

Society’s demand for extremist political solutions over the past three years has been met with policies offered by Jobbik and the two strains have mutually reinforced each other. ...
Kosovo  22/10/09

Stable Macedonian Government, but Clashes over an Encyclopaedia

The Macedonian Government and the economy remains stable, but the Macedonian Encyclopaedia caused stirs in the coalition. There were also positive developments in EU integration and Kosovan matters...
 
Czech Republic  22/10/09

Who wants to block the Lisbon Treaty?

Looking at the three EU member states that showed the greatest political reluctance to accept the Lisbon Treaty after the Irish „Yes” we can find completely different patterns in public opinion. In Po...
Montenegro  07/10/09

Stable Montenegrin Government, worrisome economic trends

The government seems stable now, and the opposition is busy with themselves for now. However, the economic problems are growing continuously, and they could pose serious problems in the near future....
 
Bulgaria  06/10/09

Different recovery paths in the CEE region

The IMF revised its global growth prognosis in the autumn edition of World Economic Outlook. Recovery in Europe could be slower than the world average because of economic rigidity. The CEE countries s...

Rising Tensions in Bosnia-Herczegovina

Bosnians will be potentially able to enter the EU without a visa starting May 2010, but the domestic troubles over the necessary austerity measures trump the agenda....
 
Bulgaria  23/09/09

Bulgarian government: dealing with the forerunners instead of reforms

First forty days of the new rightist Bulgarian Government were concentrated mostly on revealing the mistakes, corruption practices and misuses of the previous government....
Political Forecast  07/09/09

Montenegrin Government Faces Internal Conflicts

The EU and NATO integration tracks are still considered a success, but coalition conflicts have begun....
 
Bulgaria  27/08/09

The New Bulgarian Government Prepares Cut Back

The new CEDB-led government still enjoys the confidence of 72% of the citizens, but the freshly announced cut backs to curb the budget deficit could erode that support fast....
Bulgaria  24/08/09

New Bulgarian Government Focuses on its Predecessor

The new Bulgarian government focused its first efforts on revealing corrupt practices of its forerunners. Measures to address the negative economic situation in the country started to be undertaken...
 
 

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