riskandforecast

EU

Bulgaria  06/04/10

Bulgaria in the Red

Bulgaria’s budget had accumulated a deficit of BGN 499.1 million as of January 31, according to the Finance Ministry’s latest report on the Consolidated Fiscal Program....
Czech Republic  06/04/10

Euro adoption – Prospects and threats: CZECH REPUBLIC

Meeting the Maastricht criteria has not been the Czech Republic’s priority in the past few years since governments preferred to have a wider fiscal playing field....
 
Poland  06/04/10

Euro Adoption – Prospects and Threats: POLAND

The issue of adopting the euro is on the political backburner in Poland. The mounting public debt and the budget deficit make it impossible for Poles to join the Eurozone before 2016....
Romania  06/04/10

Euro Adoption – Prospects and Threats: ROMANIA

Joining the Eurozone is one of the few political issues in Romania upon which all major political parties agree....
 
Romania  06/04/10

The Romanian economy refuses to budge

The economic situation in Romania could well be worse than the government makes it out to be....
Political Forecast  02/03/10

Of Programs and Popularity

Fidesz continues to dominate the polls, regardless of accusations that it does not have a program. The Socialists are pushing a more populist tone in order to mobilize their traditional voters....
 
Bulgaria  19/02/10

Bulgarian GDP Nosedives in 2009

Bulgarian GDP fell 5.1% in 2009 year-on-year – contracting for the first time since 1997, when GDP shrank 5.6%, according to preliminary data from the National Statistical Institute (NSI)....
Czech Republic  19/02/10

Election Campaign Does Not Favour the Czech Economy

The Czech economy unexpectedly contracted 0.6% in the fourth quarter of 2009. This followed two quarterly increases that had pulled the country out of recession....
 
Macedonia (FYROM)  19/02/10

United We Don’t Stand: Macedonia’s Ethnic Albanian Parties to Go It Alone

Macedonia’s ethnic Albanian parties rejected a plan to form a united ethnic-Albanian front against Prime Minister Nikola Gruevski’s government....
Poland  19/02/10

Polish Plan to Tackle Budget Deficit and State Debt Revealed

The government presented its plan to tackle the budget deficit and soaring government debt at the beginning of February....
 
Montenegro  16/02/10

Montenegro trades barbs with IMF in loan negotiations

Montenegro’s loan negotiations with the International Monetary Fund hang in the balance after the IMF pinpointed several shortcomings in Montenegrin finances....
Albania  15/02/10

Support for the Macedonian Government Remains High

The latest polls show the greatest number of Macedonians supporting the governing coalition, but some of them indicate the main opposition party is closing the gap....
 
Flash Report  10/02/10

A Two-Thirds Majority for Fidesz – Chances, Opportunities and Risks

The opposition Fidesz party is heading into the April election campaign with such a commanding opinion-poll lead that it may gain a two-thirds majority in Parliament....
Political Forecast  03/02/10

Socialist woes in Hungary

The Socialists and the governments suffered numerous setbacks. The property tax has been abolished, more and more heads roll at BKV and the party's poll numbers failed to improve....
 
Kosovo  28/01/10

US Trip of Montenegrin PM is Seen as a Success

While the decision to establish diplomatic relations with Kosovo has heightened tensions with Serbia in the short term, the move scored political points in both Washington and Brussels....
Bulgaria  22/01/10

The first international failure of the Bulgarian government

The government of GERB experienced its first international failure with the poor performance and the followed withdrawal of the initial Bulgarian EU Commissioner-Designate Rumiana Jeleva....
 
Bulgaria  21/01/10

Public concern about euro introduction in the CEE and Baltic states

Hungarians and Romanians are by far the most enthusiastic about adopting the euro among their CEE and Baltic neighbors. Concern about Europe's common currency is highest in the Baltics, although oppos...
Flash Report  20/01/10

Rumiana Jeleva resigns in favor of Christalina Georgieva

Bulgarian Minister of Foreign affairs and EU Commissioner-Designate Rumiana Jeleva offered her resignation....
 
Hungary  20/01/10

E.U. Beckons, Economy Bleakens in Montenegro

Montenegro in 2009 saw positive developments in its bid to EU-accession. However, the economic outlook hasn't improved for 2010, which forecasts numerous conflicts in the new year....
Bulgaria  15/01/10

Heated Debate after the Hearing of Bulgarian EU Commissioner-Designate

The parliamentary hearing of Bulgarian EU Commissioner-Designate Rumiana Jeleva and her weak performance triggered serious political discussion in the European Parliament, as well in Bulgaria....
 
 

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In the media

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Unabashed Viktor Orban stands firm on migrants (September 4)

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