riskandforecast

ethnic tension

Bulgaria  21/12/09

Bulgarian Opposition Still No Threat to the Government

Apart from minor conflicts GERB remains stable, while opposition parties continue to feud among themselves....
Saudi Arabia  16/12/09

Risk of Houthi conflict turning into Saudi civil war

Saudi Arabia is now well into a full engagement fighting the Houthi rebels. The longer the conflict continue, the greater the risk of it turning into a local Saudi problem....
 
Yemen  16/12/09

Threat of secession increases as anarchy reported in South Yemen

The threat of the secession of the former South Yemen has increased as reports come in of increasing anarchy as central government police forces are unable to stop killings and kidnappings....
Montenegro  09/12/09

Going into debt seems unavoidable for the Montenegrin government

Montenegro’s 2010 budget foresees an ever-narrowing range of financial resources as the crisis grinds on. The state will probably be forced to go into debt in order to keep fiscal equilibrium....
 
Bahrain  01/12/09

Al Wefaq Parliamentary faction refuses to support Saudi action in Yemen

The Saudi involvement in the Sa’ada war along the Yemeni-Saudi border is turning the conflict into a regional one, with implications for Shiite-Sunni relations in other GCC states, such as Bahrain....
Saudi Arabia  01/12/09

Fighting intensifies along Saudi-Yemeni border

The sixth Sa’ada war that started off as an internal civil war in Yemen has become a regional conflict....
 
Iran  16/11/09

Saudi Arabia warns Iranian pilgrims to avoid politics during Hajj

Tensions between Sunnis and Shiites in Yemen and Saudi Arabia have erupted, as well as the deteriorating situation in Yemen, contributing to an increase of hostility between the two regimes....
Hungary  11/11/09

Most Significant Risk Factors that Could Hinder Economic Recovery in Hungary

Large inactive population, high and badly structured state redistribution, corruption, possible ethnic tensions and the emergence of the far-right are the key risk factors in Hungary....
 
Hungary  28/10/09

Reasons behind the resurgence of the far right

A joint statement by the Hungarian Anti-Racist Foundation and Political Capital...
Hungary  28/10/09

Reasons Behind the Resurgence of the Far Right in Hungary

Society’s demand for extremist political solutions over the past three years has been met with policies offered by Jobbik and the two strains have mutually reinforced each other. ...
 
Kosovo  22/10/09

Stable Macedonian Government, but Clashes over an Encyclopaedia

The Macedonian Government and the economy remains stable, but the Macedonian Encyclopaedia caused stirs in the coalition. There were also positive developments in EU integration and Kosovan matters...
Bahrain  16/10/09

Bahrein High Court Acquits Shiites in High Profile Ethnic Tensions Case

Bahrain’s high court acquitted 19 Shiites accused of killing a policeman, in a case closely watched by the Shiite majority. The court ruling is expected to improve relations with the ruling Sunnis....
 
Bulgaria  12/10/09

Passing the budget is the first serious task of the Bulgarian government

The government of Citizen for European Development of Bulgaria is facing the first serious task since it came in power in July – passing the Budget 2010....
Montenegro  07/10/09

Stable Montenegrin Government, worrisome economic trends

The government seems stable now, and the opposition is busy with themselves for now. However, the economic problems are growing continuously, and they could pose serious problems in the near future....
 
Bulgaria  05/10/09

Instigations Lead to Ethnic and Religious Tensions in Bulgaria

The Monument of the "Unknown Turkish Soldier" in the village of Slavyanovo was demolished. The authorities announced that the monument was illegally raised and it is only a provocation....
Albania  05/10/09

The First Macedonian Encyclopaedia Caused Tensions

The Macedonian Academy of Science and Arts (MANU) launched the first national "Macedonian Encyclopaedia", funded by the government. However, its content caused conflicts with Albania....
 

Rising Tensions in Bosnia-Herczegovina

Bosnians will be potentially able to enter the EU without a visa starting May 2010, but the domestic troubles over the necessary austerity measures trump the agenda....
Yemen  15/09/09

Mediation efforts in Yemen to end Sa’ada conflict fail

Conflict in the Sa’ada region of Yemen is still ongoing as mediation efforts fail. There are increasing calls for turning Yemen into a federation...
 
Slovakia  24/08/09

Intensifying Coalition Conflicts in Slovakia

Robert Fico decided to ignore the agreement between the ruling coalition parties on ministry appointments after dismissing the Environment Minister....
Yemen  15/08/09

Civil War looms on the Horizon in Yemen

The start of the “sixth” civil war in Saada will stretch the resources of the government even further. The government is being gradually weakened and it seems it is in need of foreign assistance....
 
 

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