riskandforecast

Election

Bulgaria  18/06/09

Bulgarian results on the European Parliamentary elections seen as indicator

The results of the European Elections in Bulgaria showed that the governing parties still hold majority of the votes, but not enough for a majority after the July elections. FDI saw a 50% decline YoY....
Czech Republic  18/06/09

ODS comeback on the Czech EP Elections

The European election is seen as an indicator of party strengths ahead of early general elections in the Czech Republic; however, balance of forces can change radically in the next few months....
 
Poland  18/06/09

Safe win for Donald Tusk and the PO on the Polish EP Elections

Donald Tusk’s cabinet in Poland is the most stable coalition in the region at the moment, taking more than 50% of the votes on the EP elections....
Romania  18/06/09

Romanian big coalition wins on the European Parliamentary elections

In Romania, the parties of the big coalition dominate the political field with an almost equal, head-to-head result. Meanwhile, the slump in the Romanian economy is deeper than expected....
 
Slovakia  18/06/09

Record low Slovakian turnout on the 2009 European Elections

For the second time in succession, Slovakia recorded the lowest voter turnout among all EU countries in the European Parliament elections: 19,6%. Meanwhile, economic forecasts turned for the worse....
Hungary  10/06/09

Consequences of the European Parliamentary election in Hungary

Fidesz won the EP election decisively, transforming a rigid party system. Anti-Romaism became a dominant force in politics. Government support became more fragile, with pressure to soften its program....
 
Croatia  19/05/09

Problems Characterize the Government's first 6 Months

Borut Pahor’s ruling has been marked by three issues: the global economic crisis, the Slovenian-Croatian border dispute, attacks of the opposition a discreet criticism of the coalition partners....
Kuwait  10/04/09

Emir Dissolved the Parliament in Kuwait

The Emir dissolved the parliament and accepted the resignation of the government. Polls indicate a similar parliament. Plans to pass the economic stimulus package as an emergency measure emerge....
 
Romania  13/10/08

Wage hikes in Romania: spreading the Hungarian disease

Romania has dropped into the election year spending trap, as seen in Hungary in 2002 and 2006. Romania may set back as a result of the motion and face fiscal, competitiveness and growth problems....
Hungary  04/04/08

HUF’s vulnerability rising

The consequences of the 9 March referendum and the ongoing coalition crisis have sharply raised the vulnerability of the Hungarian currency (HUF)....
 
Hungary  12/03/08

Political risk in Hungary increased by the referendum

The referendum on 9th March is exceptional, since democratic countries rarely hold referenda on the abolition of point-of-delivery charges for health care and of university tuition fees....
Hungary  28/01/08

Referendum Campaign Preparations in Hungary

Parties are preparing their campaign for the referendum on 9 March. The result will alter the strategies of the government and the opposition as well....
 
 

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In the media

Hungarian PM Not Concerned About ‘Getting Sacked’ (May 10)

Jung, gebildet, rechtsradikal (May 2)

Hungary elects PM's close ally Ader as president (May 2)

Un fidèle d'Orban à la présidence hongroise (May 2)

Ader Tapped for Hungarian President as Orban Picks Ally (April 16)

Hungary PM proposes close ally as new president (April 16)

Hungary government loyalist Ader set to be new president (April 13)



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