riskandforecast

Hungary

Political Forecast  20/07/10

IMF Casts Doubt on Hungary’s Fiscal Strategy

Although Hungary currently has no urgent need for outside financing, the IMF loan served as a safety net should the country find itself in a tight spot....
Press release  20/07/10

Hungarian-Slovak Network to Reset Political Dialogue

Political analysts, researchers and members of civil organisations in Slovakia and Hungary have created an open network to stimulate dialogue on issues that affect the entire Visegrad region....
 
Press release  12/07/10

Cornerstone Global Associates forms Strategic Partnership with Political Capital

Political Capital are delighted to announce a strategic partnership with Cornerstone Global Associates to collaborate on projects in their markets of operations....
Chart of the Week  12/07/10

Are homophobic people more right-wing than toleranted ones?

The graph below illustrates the difference in the left-right political orientations of people who are homophobic or toleranted in 23 European countries. A higher score means people who dislike homosex...
 
Flash Report  12/07/10

Fidesz & hubrisz

The biggest political calamities are sometimes the consequence of the most obvious political mistakes. This may be the case with the new Declaration of National Cooperation....
In-depth analysis  08/07/10

Deeply Unhealthy

Economist: „A commendably thorough paper from Political Capital, a Budapest-based research outfit, highlights the mess the new government has inherited and the unrealistic nature of its promises"...
 
In-depth analysis  06/07/10

How Medicine May Break The Bank

In 2010, Hungary’s governing Fidesz party raised expectations for healthcare that are going to be hard to meet. If Fidesz fails to live up to them, an opportunity may open for the extreme right....
Flash Report  15/06/10

Bungling geniuses

Barely two weeks in office, Prime Minister Viktor Orbán's administration has experienced a change of fortunes so rapid that onlookers might get whiplash....
 
In-depth analysis  09/06/10

Hungary Faces Mounting Risks of Corruption, Prejudice and Press Restrictions

Hungary’s 2010 Political Risk Index (PRI) score is 66 points – the first year the country’s political risk has declined since the index began in 2005....
Flash Report  08/06/10

Orbán’s New Action Plan Will Help Hungary Maintain Its Strong Fiscal Position

Concerns about whether Hungary’s new government will loosen budgetary discipline appear to have been laid to rest....
 
Flash Report  05/06/10

Hungarian Govt Plans Drastic Response to HUF Crisis

Political Capital expects the Hungarian government reacts to the crisis fast and will announce austerity measures to stabilize the budget and the exchange rate. ...
Chart of the Week  04/06/10

How to rock the markets - the Hungarian lesson

Lajos Kósa, managing vice-president of Hungarian governing party Fidesz made the classical mistake which revealed that good governance presupposes good communication....
 
Political Forecast  01/06/10

Conflicts with the Central Bank and the northern neighbour

As the new government will have little room for boosting the budget deficit, its economic policy will not represent a sharp turn from that pursued by the Bajnai-cabinet....
Flash Report  28/05/10

Dual citizenship poses risks only in Slovak and Hungarian relations

In respect to the stability of the region as a whole political risks will not increase significantly due to the preferential naturalization of ethnic Hungarians living outside state borders. ...
 
Flash Report  10/05/10

Personalties & policy

The day after Fidesz scooped up 68 per cent of the seats in Parliament, Prime Minister-designate Viktor Orbán took aim at Hungarian National Bank Governor András Simor....
Flash Report  28/04/10

Fidesz vs. Hungarian National Bank: A three-month skirmish or a three-year war?

Hungarian Prime Minister-in-waiting Viktor Orbán, whose Fidesz party won an unprecedented 68% of seats in Parliament, urgently wants to replace Hungarian central bank Governor András Simor....
 
Flash Report  26/04/10

Hungary will have its Strongest Government since the Transition

With 68% of the seats in Parliament, Hungarian Prime Minister-in-waiting Viktor Orbán and his Fidesz party will be able to form the most stable government Hungary has had since the transition....
Flash Report  26/04/10

An economic house divided

Fidesz, the party that scored an unassailable majority Hungary’s parliament this month, may discover that it has pitched its tent too wide....
 
Chart of the Week  15/04/10

Hungarian Elections: A Success for Non-parliamentary Parties

Four parties reached the 5% threshold for parliamentary representation in the first round of Hungary’s general election on April 11. Two of them had never made it into Parliament before: The far-right...
Flash Report  12/04/10

Fidesz is Very Close to a Two-Thirds Majority in Parliament

Results from the first round of Hungary’s general elections on April 11 have made it clear that Fidesz will have an absolute majority in the next Parliament....
 
 

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