riskandforecast

Corruption

Romania  29/07/09

Corruption Charges Amid Economic Woes

Romania’s economic outlook has not improved, and the budget deficit is becoming a concern for more economic players, and corruption charges against ministers do not help either....
Hungary  27/07/09

No economic policy shift expected in Hungary following the election

Despite generous promises, once in power Fidesz will be unable to splurge and reverse all policy decisions passed by the Bajnai-cabinet; such steps would go against its own vested interests. ...
 
Albania  21/07/09

The Bosnia and Herzegovina Stand-by Agreement with the IMF is in Question

The BiH stand-by agreement with the IMF is jeopardized by the FBiH government’s inability to agree upon budget revision. ...
Kuwait  15/07/09

Kuwaiti Interior Minister Survived a Vote of No-confidence

The Kuwaiti interior minister has survived a vote of no-confidence, public support for the opposition in its attempts to delegitimize the government seems to have waned....
 
Hungary  09/07/09

Slovakian Opposition Steps up Attacks

Former Slovakian PM Mikuláš Dzurinda is attacking the government with a similar rhetoric as Mr. Fico did before the 2006 elections. The Hungarian-Slovakian relationship hasn't improved....
Albania  03/06/09

Conflicts and Declining Popularity due to Austerity Measures in Serbia

The government's popularity dipped due to austerity measures required by the IMF stand-by agreement. Also, conflicts arose between the coalition parties due plans to cut the number of ministries....
 
Croatia  03/06/09

Governing Parties Lag Behind the Opposition before the EP Elections

The governing parties are behind the opposition in the polls before the EP elections. The coalition is expected to pick up 4, the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) 2 seats and New Slovenia (NSi)1 seat....
Slovakia  26/05/09

Slovakia's economic troubles grow

The recession has hit Slovakia more seriously than expected, possibly affecting governing party Smer, so the European elections will serve as a test....
 
Political Forecast  19/05/09

Positive Developments in Montenegro-EU relations

The competent EU bodies (COREPER, GAERC) paved the way for the Montenegrin membership application, and a comprehensive questionnaire will soon be sent to the Montenegrin authorities....
Croatia  19/05/09

Problems Characterize the Government's first 6 Months

Borut Pahor’s ruling has been marked by three issues: the global economic crisis, the Slovenian-Croatian border dispute, attacks of the opposition a discreet criticism of the coalition partners....
 
Dubai  15/04/09

Dubai Real-estate Market is in Trouble

Two high-profile court cases in the Dubai courts are likely to further erode the credibility of the Dubai real-estate market. ...
Albania  08/04/09

Montenegrin Elections Result in a clear win for DPS

The Montenegrin PM, Milo Djukanović-lead DPS cemented its two-decade old rule, and the opposition fragmented further. As a result the new government will have free hand in policy making....
 
Political Forecast  09/03/09

No Threats to Government Stability in Slovenia for the Moment

Slovenia continues to remain an economically and politically stable country, but the border dispute with Croatia puts burden on the government...
Bulgaria  19/11/08

Bulgarian Socialist Party: Before Congress

The different groups within the Bulgarian Socialist Party focus on possible partners after the 2009 elections. The party's congress on 22-23 November could cause a rearranging of the forces....
 
Bulgaria  04/11/08

Bulgarian Opposition Stays Divided

The so called “EPP format” consisting of CEDB, UDF and DSB appears to be an ineffective form of oppositional cooperation....
Bulgaria  22/10/08

Infighting within the Bulgarian Socialist Party Continues

The main factor of government instability during the past two weeks continues to be the ongoing struggle between lobbies within the Bulgarian Socialist Party. ...
 
Bulgaria  02/10/08

Infighting Intensifies among Bulgarian Socialists as Congress Approaches

Internal conflict between the circles of Bulgarian Socialist Party has intensified with the National Congress approaching....
Bulgaria  01/09/08

Easing Pressure on the Bulgarian Government

In August public interest in politics is very low. This eased the political pressure by the opposition, calmed down the public discontent towards the government....
 
Bulgaria  01/08/08

Vote of No Confidence not Sucessful in Bulgaria

The cabinet of Sergei Stanishev (BSP) survived the 6th vote of no confidence. The opposition failed because the governing coalition has 150 votes in the 240 seat parliament....
Bulgaria  16/07/08

Upcoming Vote of no Confidence in Bulgaria not Expected to Succeed

The expected vote of no confidence most certainly will not pass. The majority remains stable and the opposition does not have the needed 121 MPs to depose the government....
 
 

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