riskandforecast

Chart of the Week

Romania  10/11/09

Does Traian Basescu still enjoy the voters’ support?

According to the latest national survey of Insomar polling institue, Romanian citizens primarily blame President Basescu for the current political insta...
Poland  03/11/09

Polish Privatisation Revenues Appear to Be Overestimated

The Polish government wants to sell its stakes in several large companies to help restrain the country's widening budget deficit, but the plan is endangered by financial and political factors. Foreign...
 
Hungary  30/10/09

Party preferences in Hungary, October 2009

More than one third of voting-age Hungarians say they back the main opposition party, Fidesz, outnumbering supporters of the governing Socialist Party (MSZP) by a margin of 3:1, according to the lates...
Czech Republic  22/10/09

Who wants to block the Lisbon Treaty?

Looking at the three EU member states that showed the greatest political reluctance to accept the Lisbon Treaty after the Irish „Yes” we can find completely different patterns in public opinion. In Po...
 
Albania  13/10/09

Ease of doing business - comparative chart between GCC, CEE and SEE regions

The chart shows absolute ranking of the selected countries in the World Bank Doing Business 2010 Report. Most SEE countries have improved their position since the last report. Despite this, they are i...
Bulgaria  06/10/09

Different recovery paths in the CEE region

The IMF revised its global growth prognosis in the autumn edition of World Economic Outlook. Recovery in Europe could be slower than the world average because of economic rigidity. The CEE countries s...
 
Czech Republic  21/09/09

Czech politics: a draw game?

After the postponement of early elections, Czech parties got some additional time to persuade the voters.The campaign is expected to be extremely intense, because voters have not yet decided between O...
Czech Republic  14/09/09

Hungary – international reserves reach peak

By the end of August, international reserves stepped over 30 billion euros in Hungary. The huge increase in the assets since October 2008 is due to the IMF loan and the mending credibility of the coun...
 
Hungary  07/09/09

Mounting indebtedness of Hungarian municipalities

In the last five years the liabilities of municipalities has tripled, exceeding 1200 billion HUF by the end of the first quarter 2009. Part of the loans and securities are used to finance operational ...
Hungary  31/08/09

Consumer confidence on the rise

In August 2009 GKI's Consumer Confidence Index increased for the fourth consecutive month. The strengthening of the HUF could contribute to the beneficial tendency in public sentiment, which is not su...
 
Czech Republic  24/08/09

Philips-Curve in Slovakia and the Czech Republic

The disputed Philips-curve (showing that inflation and the unemployment rate are inversely proportional) seems to describe accurately the trends in both crisis-hit Slovakia and the Czech Republic. Fal...
Czech Republic  17/08/09

Is there a decoupling trend in the region?

The significance of the “common fate” of regional currencies has decreased in recent months. At the beginning of 2009 the Hungarian, the Polish, the Czech and the Romanian currencies still followed th...
 
Poland  10/08/09

Polish unemployment rate beginning to climb up

Unemployment rose to 10.8% in July, up from 10.7% in June. The not-so-significant change seems to be the beginning of a trend in Polish employment. The Polish Labour Minister Jolanta Fedak expects the...
Romania  04/08/09

IMF Agreement Projects Austerity Measures in Romania

According to the agreement between Romania and the IMF, the budget deficit could rise to 7.3% instead of 4.6% as originally expected with the government facing increasing difficulties in paying public...
 
Poland  03/08/09

Most Successful Crisis-manager In the Region?

Donald Tusk’s cabinet in Poland is the most stable coalition in the region at the moment, which, in part, can be explained by the relatively slight effect of the crisis on the Polish economy. Donald T...
Slovakia  27/07/09

Smer’s advantage is still high but can melt by 2010

A balance of political forces seems to have been frozen in Slovakia for months now, though the leading governing party did not manage to gain the predicted proportion of votes in June at the EP electi...
 
Czech Republic  20/07/09

Czech caretaker government rebuilt the confidence in political institutions

After a decline due to the political crisis in March and April, the new caretaker government led by Jan Fischer (and supported by both political sides) was able to increase confidence not only in the ...
Chart of the Week  13/07/09

Timoshenko’s Popularity Melting Due to the Crisis

The approval rating of the Ukrainian Prime Minister has notably declined since the beginning of the crisis (still being more popular than her party) deteriorating her chances to be elected as presiden...
 
Hungary  06/07/09

Hungary: lost advantage in economic growth since 2006

Between 1996 and 2006, Hungary seemed to be a country with much greater economic growth potential than the countries of the Eurozone. This trend was broken in 2006, when the austerity measures of the ...
Hungary  29/06/09

Popularity of Government and EU Hand in Hand

Since joining the European Union, the trend of trust in the EU and in the national governments has moved in parallel in Hungarian public opinion polls. The voters project their overall sentiments abou...
 
 

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Ungheria, ali tarpate per la Malev (February 4)

A Revised Portrait of Hungary's Right-Wing Extremists (February 3)

Verden er blevet mere udemokratisk (January 24)

Hungary PM backs down (January 20)

Circunscripciones a medida (January 19)

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